Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.850444 4.445642 5.102521 5.881332 6.779745 7.783919 8.992001
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.942231 3.692025 4.590176 5.745718 7.194092 8.951116 11.247365
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.290233 3.089316 4.117067 5.536727 7.449403 9.941068 13.441139
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.930815 2.778684 3.940892 5.651920 8.111450 11.527159 16.646871
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.589945 2.425900 3.639616 5.532479 8.417638 12.663232 19.412215
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.438875 2.316114 3.658628 5.865929 9.416115 14.925173 24.168464
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.290407 2.181907 3.613919 6.085672 10.262853 17.069694 29.073431
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.131985 2.003209 3.466757 6.109312 10.784632 18.756385 33.478960
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.947896 1.749946 3.154558 5.799196 10.682100 19.366442 36.110245
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.878035 1.687179 3.161126 6.048600 11.599638 21.874685 42.510412
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.840514 1.677505 3.260124 6.479299 12.909702 25.272190 51.080736
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.771869 1.596706 3.212300 6.617530 13.670598 27.725170 58.162334
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.697072 1.495644 3.117033 6.660789 14.277365 30.020708 65.417107
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.606139 1.347111 2.904533 6.429644 14.281146 31.093053 70.283744
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.524466 1.205611 2.685618 6.149899 14.134659 31.821355 74.509465
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.483404 1.148310 2.640453 6.249193 14.848843 34.536819 83.692235
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.429640 1.053284 2.496912 6.099723 14.964755 35.914623 89.953034
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.414877 1.048975 2.562055 6.456203 16.343680 40.447895 104.641735
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.393489 1.024995 2.576730 6.690900 17.458838 44.510636 118.816289
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.362397 0.971535 2.511243 6.712384 18.034766 47.317204 130.188401
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.316719 0.872858 2.317321 6.368835 17.599843 47.468169 134.462040
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.304444 0.862289 2.350697 6.641164 18.871156 52.308621 152.513577
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.301083 0.875922 2.450638 7.113164 20.772356 59.144258 177.397614